اقتصاد و برنامه ریزی شهری

اقتصاد و برنامه ریزی شهری

تحلیل پیشران‌های کلیدی اثرگذاری مولفه‌های رقابت‌پذیری بر شکل‌‌گیری اقتصاد دانش‌بنیان با رویکرد آینده‌پژوهی (مطالعه موردی شهر کرمان)

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان
1 استاد، جغرافیای انسانی و آمایش، دانشکده علوم زمین، دانشگاه شهید بهشتی، تهران، ایران
2 دانشیار، گروه جغرافیای انسانی و آمایش، دانشگاه شهید بهشتی، تهران، ایران
3 کارشناسی ارشد، جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی شهری، دانشگاه شهید بهشتی، تهران، ایران.
چکیده
شهر به عنوان کانون اصلی زیست بشر، در حال حاضر یکی از مهم ترین مقوله ها در حوزه برنامه ریزی به شمار می رود. شهرها از پیدایش تاکنون، با افزایش شهرنشینی و پیچیدگی نظام شهری در حال رقابت با یکدیگر می باشند. باتوجه به کاربردی بودن پژوهش حاضر، هدف تبیین پیشران های تاثیرگذار بر ارتقا مولفه های رقابت پذیری در راستای اقتصاد دانش بنیان شهر کرمان می باشد که از منظر ماهیت انجام کار ترکیبی از توصیفی_تحلیلی و استفاده از روش های اقتصاد سنجی در تطبیق داده ها با رویکرد آینده پژوهی توسط خبرگان و کارشناسان شهری انجام گرفته است. یافته های تحقیق حاضر مشخص کرد که از بین شاخص های 29 گانه، شفافیت و انسجام در سیاست ها، قوانین و مقررات اقتصادی حاکم، اشتغال زایی و ایجاد زمینه‌های جدید فعالیت برای نیروی کارآ و متخصص، آموزش منابع انسانی تامین سرمایه انسانی لازم برای اقتصاد دانش محور، شفاف سازی اقتصاد و سالم سازی آن و جلوگیری از اقدامات، فعالیت ها و زمینه های فسادزا در حوزه های پولی، تجاری، ارزی و...، افزایش استفاده مردم از کالاهای داخلی و ایجاد مزیت رقابتی در قیمت برای صادرات محصولات در بازارهای جهانی، توانمندسازی نیروی کار و افزایش سهم سرمایه انسانی از طریق ارتقا آموزش، مهارت، خلاقیت و کارآفرینی با محوریت رشد بهره‌وری و رقابت‌پذیری در اقتصاد و توسعه و تقویت خلاقیت در جامعه (اتکای توسعه به خلاقیت در جامعه) موثرترین پیشرانها در شکل گیری و ارتقا اقتصاد دانش بنیان شهر کرمان می باشند.
کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


عنوان مقاله English

Analysis of Key Drivers of the Impact of Competitiveness Components on the Formation of Knowledge-Based Economy with a Futures Study Approach (Case Study of Kerman City)

نویسندگان English

Aliakbar Anabestani 1
Jamileh Tavakolinia 2
Zahra Arzhang 3
1 Professor, Faculty of Earth Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran.
2 MSc. Faculty of Earth Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran.
3 Associate Prof. Faculty of Earth Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran
چکیده English

Introduction
In an age that we consider the age of knowledge and the economy to be a knowledge-based economy and competition to be global, we are witnessing intense competition between countries at the international level and cities at the national level. The flow of competition has a dynamic nature that for success in the future, we must use new and transformative competitive methods, which is a reason for the progress and development of cities based on knowledge. According to the components of competitiveness, to be able to understand the concept of competitiveness correctly, we must measure the performance of the macro economy and the standard of living of the society based on the productivity of the production factors. According to the research obtained, a competitive economy is where people enjoy a high level of living and employment standards and knowledge and innovation are among the driving forces in the growth and development of cities. Therefore, in this research, we try to analyze the key factors and the main driving forces affecting the formation of the knowledge-based economy of Kerman city and then its main elements and factors by designing possible scenarios in the future, the path of the region's economic progress will be presented with a future research approach. Therefore, the main question of the research is: What will be the key drivers of the impact of competitiveness components on the formation of the knowledge-based economy of Kerman in the future (10-year horizon 2031)?
Materials and Methods
In the current study, the research method is applied, and from the perspective of the nature of the work, a combination of descriptive-analytical and econometric methods was used in matching the data and in explaining the structure as a future research approach. In this way, the most important factors affecting the formation of a knowledge-based economy in Kerman city have been investigated. Information was collected by document method (library resources, scientific journals) and field method (using a questionnaire tool). In this research, the statistical population of 23 experts consisted of city managers (mayors, deputy mayors, heads of organizations, and managers of urban areas), members of the city's Islamic Council, civil engineering experts in the governorate and urban affairs office and the governorate councils of Kerman, Sciences and Technology Park of Kerman, Administrator of Industry, Mining and Trade of Kerman, Faculty member of Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman, and other universities of this city, together with professors of Shahid Beheshti University and specialists of the urban area.
In the current research, structured interviews with several experts in the fields of the knowledge-based economy and urban competitiveness were carried out using the Delphi method to identify the key factors and then by combining the factors obtained from the interviews and the studied documents in the background,  the validity and reliability of the variables by experts were confirmed. Finally, the factors were evaluated in the form of a prospective research questionnaire.
Findings
The most important factors affecting the promotion of competitiveness components in the knowledge-based economy of Kerman city were identified by using field and library studies. Furthermore, the degree of influence or effectiveness of the identified factors was determined using quantitative future research methods and the use of Micmac software. Therefore, the findings of the research show that among the 29 key factors of the impact of competitiveness components on the urban knowledge-based economy, after examining the indicators and extracting the key influencing factors (direct and indirect), seven key drivers are "transparency and coherence in the ruling economic policies, laws and regulations", "Creating employment and creating new fields of activity for efficient and expert workforce", "training human resources to provide the necessary human capital for a knowledge-based economy", "Clarifying the economy", and "making it healthy and preventing actions", "Corrupt activities and fields in the monetary, commercial, currency", "Increasing people's use of domestic goods and creating a competitive advantage in price for exporting products in global markets", "Empowering the workforce and increasing the share of human capital through promoting education, skills", "creativity and entrepreneurship with a focus on growth Productivity and competitiveness in the economy" and "Development and strengthening of creativity in society (reliance of development on creativity in society)" have had the most significant impact on the promotion of competitive components in the urban knowledge-based economy in Kerman city.
Conclusion
In a summary of past research, it can be mentioned that competitiveness is a key term in the process of economic activities. To have a dynamic and efficient city, we must pay attention to all the components of competitiveness in line with the urban knowledge-based economy and apply them. Since Iran is far from the conditions of a knowledge-based economy at the international level, arrangements should be made in various fields such as innovation and creativity, investing in human capital, acquiring technology and strengthening and equipping infrastructure, setting up business environments and employment and entrepreneurship at the national level and in urban areas to provide access to knowledge and create a suitable environment by using communication and information tools in economic activities and investment in the competitive environment of the city. Now, with the rapid changes in cities based on the rapid growth of science, knowledge, and technology, according to the new phenomenon of globalization, we are witnessing intense competition between the cities of the world. The main driver of the economic growth and development of the city is the production, distribution, and application of knowledge in all the city’s economic activities. Looking to the future in this research, we aim to make a suitable model for the progress and development of the city based on the components of competitiveness and in line with the knowledge-based economy to move the cities towards progress in a competitive world.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Competitiveness
Future Study
Kerman city
Knowledge Based Economy
  1. United Nations. The World’s Cities in 2016. 2016; available in https://www.un.org/en/ 
  2. Nazmfar, H., Eshghi Chaharborj, A. & Alavi, S. Examining the state of economic competitiveness of Iranian cities, Journal of Economy and Urban Management, 2017; 5(20): 23-38. [In Persian]
  3. Gardiner, B., Martin, R., & Tyler, P. Competitiveness, productivity and economic growth across the European regions. Regional Studies, 2004; 38, 1037–1059. P.83-85.
  4. Jiang, Y., & Shen, J. Measuring the urban competitiveness of Chinese cities in 2000. Cities, 2010; 27(5): 307–314.
  5. Kresl, P. K., & Fry, E. H. The urban response to internationalization. 2015; Edward Elgar Publishing.
  6. Singhal, Sh; McGreal, S; Berry, J. An evaluative model for city competitiveness: Application to UK cities, Land Use Policy, 2013; 30, 214-222. 
  7. Saez, L; Perianez, I. Benchmarking urban competitiveness in Europe to attract investment, 2015; Cities 48, 76–85.
  8. Lengyel, I. Competitiveness of Metropolitan Regions in Vise Grad Counties, Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 10 June 2016, 223, 357-362.
  9. Aliakbari, E., Akbari, M., Ansari, M. & Bustan Ahmadi, V. Measuring and analyzing competitiveness indicators in West Asian countries with an emphasis on Iran. Journal of Regional Planning, 2019; 9(33): 1-14. [In Persian]
  10. Nazeman, H. & Eslamifar, A.R. Knowledge-based economy and sustainable development (design and test of an analytical model with global data). Journal of Financial Monetary Economy, 2010; 17(33): 184-213. doi: 10.22067/pm.v17i33.27316 [In Persian]
  11. OECD, The reform of metropolitan governance, OECD Policy Brief, Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, 1998; Geneva.
  12. Nilforoushan, H. Investigating the nature of knowledge-based economy and the necessity and feasibility of moving Iran from a production-based economy to a knowledge-based economy. Unpublished master thesis, 2005; Mashhad: Ferdowsi University of Mashhad. [In Persian]
  13. Burke, P. A social history of Knowledge. Cultural and history Journal, 2000; 3(1): 1-12. 
  14. Monavarian, A., Asgari, N. & Ashena, M. Structural and content dimensions of knowledge-based organizations. The first national knowledge management conference, 2005; Tehran. https://civilica.com/doc/33938. [In Persian]
  15. Lord, S., Helfgott, A., & Vervoort, J. M. Choosing diverse sets of plausible scenarios in multidimensional exploratory futures techniques, Futures, 2016; 77: 11-27.
  16. Šegota, A., Tomljanović, M. & Huđek, I.V. Contemporary approaches to measuring competitiveness – the case of EU member states, Journal of Economics and Business, 2017; 35(1): 123-150.
  17. Nazmfar, H., Eshghi Chaharborj, A. & Alavi, S. Spatial analysis of the competitiveness of urban settlements in the provinces of Iran, Journal of Geographical Planning of Space, 2017; 7(24): 153-168. [In Persian]
  18. Gabor, M. R.; Conţiu, L. C., & Oltean, F. D., A comparative analysis regarding European tourism competitiveness: emerging versus developed markets. Procedia Economics and Finance, 2012; 3(12): 361-366.
  19. Baumann, C. and Winzar, H., The role of secondary education in explaining competitiveness. Asia Pacific Journal of Education, 2016; 36(1): 13-30.
  20. World Economic Forum, The Competitiveness of Cities. A report of the Global Agenda Counci l on Competitiveness. 2014.
  21. Zebardast, E. Investigating the first urban developments in Iran. Journal of Fine Arts, 2007; 26: 29-38. [In Persian]
  22. Hadizenouz, B. The position of basic metal industries and related mines in the national economy and its evolution in the fourth plan (2005-2009) based on the data-output technique. Journal of Economic Research Paper, 2004; 4(15): 133-168. [In Persian] 
  23. Ghorbani, R. & Kazemirad, Sh. An analysis of effective factors in urban competitiveness based on the scenario writing method (case study: Tabriz city). Journal of Geography and Territorial Spatial Arrangement, 2019; 9(30): 19-38. doi: 10.22111/gaij.2019.4527. [In Persian]
  24. Eskandari Sani, M., Pilehvar, A.& Rezaienasab, A. Measuring the factors affecting the regional competitiveness of the degree of sustainable development, case study: North Khorasan province. Journal of Geography and Territorial Spatial Arrangement, 2017; 7(24): 57-70. doi: 10.22111/gaij.2017.3376 [In Persian]
  25. OECD, The Knowledge-based economy, 1996; Paris. 
  26. Dasgupta, P. & David, P. Toward a New Economics of Science; Research Policy, 1994; 33(5): 487-521.
  27. Saratikyan, N. The knowledge-based economy in Poland. Regional innovation system, April 2017, https://www.researchgate.net/publication/327350776
  28. Liefne, I. Knowledge‐Based Economy, Chapter book of The International Encyclopedia of Geography, John Wiley & Sons; 2017 Mar 20. Doi: 10.1002/9781118786352.wbieg0046
  29. Moisio S. In What Sense a Geopolitical Knowledge-Based Economy?. In Geopolitical Transformations in Higher Education 2022 (pp. 21-33). Springer, Cham.
  30. Giraldo, MC., Toro, ON., Arias, AV., Arias, ML., Piedrahita, LB. Research trends of the knowledge-based economy: A bibliometric study. Intangible Capital. 2022 Jul 29; 18(2): 290-313. DOI:10.3926/ic.2048
  31. OECD. Handbook on Constructing Composite Indicators: Methodology and User Guide. 2008; OECD.
  32. Dahlman, C., & Anderson, T. Korea and Knowledge- Based Economy. Making the Transition. 2000; World Bank Institute.
  33. Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (Organization). Economic Committee. Building the Future of APEC Economies: Move Forward on the New Economy and Entrepreneurship: Report. 2000; APEC Secretariat.
  34. World Bank. World Development Report- Knowledge for Development. 1998/99; New York: Oxford University Press.
  35. Eydmohammadzadeh, H., Rezaie, J., Faghih Nasiri, M. & Tavakoli Baghdadabad, Evaluating the knowledge economy using the mathematical planning model. Journal of Economic Research Paper, 2010 Spring; 1(1): 115-135. [In Persian]
  36. Hosieni, S.Sh. & Chaharmahali Bighash, A. Knowledge economy and the development gap. Journal of New Economy and Trade, 2005; 1(1): 55-82. [In Persian]
  37. Memarnezhad, A. Knowledge-based economy: requirements, indicators, situation of Iran, challenges and solutions. Journal of New Economy and Trade, 2005; 1(1): 85-115. [In Persian]
  38. Jani, S. Factors affecting the competitiveness of Iran and the countries of Southwest Asia. Economic Policy and Research Quarterly, 2011; 19(58); 959-991. [In Persian]
  39. Dizaji, M., Daneshvar, S. & Babaie Anari Determining Iran’s Status Regarding knowledge-based Economy among the Selected Countries. The Journal of Productivity Management, 2012; 6((3)22): 121-144. [In Persian]
  40. Delbari, M. Economic competitiveness of cities with an emphasis on factors affecting the urban competitiveness index (GUCI). the first national conference in search of tomorrow and analysis of concepts and examples in the Iranian-Islamic city, 2014; Tehran: Diba Ofogh Raya Company. [In Persian]
  41. Ghorbani, Z. Iran and knowledge-based economy: challenges and solutions. International Conference on Management. Economics and Industrial Engineering, 2015; Tehran: Shahr Rey Payme Noor University. [In Persian]
  42. Fatahi, M. & Barkhordari, S. Sajjad knowledge-based economy, the basis of resistance economy. A future-oriented scientific research and consulting company. Mazandaran Province, June 30, 2015. [In Persian] 
  43. Ranjbar, F. Monitoring the resistance economy: indicators of the knowledge-based economy. A future-oriented scientific research and consulting company. Mazandaran Province, June 30, 2015. [In Persian]
  44. Shaghaghi Shahri, V. The effects of knowledge-based economy on the attraction of foreign direct investment (the theory of economic-regional convergences for ECO member countries). Journal of Regional Economy and Development, 2017; 13(24): 24-54. [In Persian]
  45. Khazraie Shoulayfar, M. & Kakehabadi, Z. Zainab. Investigating factors affecting urban competitiveness based on Saez’s proposed model, relying on the concept of coopetition (case study: Tehran). Journal of New Attitudes in Human Geography, 2018; 11(1): 111-131. [In Persian]
  46. Eyvazlou, D. Sustainable urban competitiveness in the framework of local-regional cooperation (case study: Tehran metropolis), Unpublished doctoral dissertation, 2018 Summer, Tehran: Shahid Beheshti University. [In Persian]
  47. Sasani, A., Shahhosieni, M.A. & Rezvan, M. Presenting a regional competitiveness model based on the structure of the knowledge-based entrepreneurial ecosystem. Journal of Strategic Studies in Oil and Energy Industry, 2020; 11(44): 33-64. [In Persian]
  48. Yaghoubi, N.M., Dehghani, M. & Omidvar, M. Forecasting the composite indicators of the knowledge-based economy in Iran (Horizon 1404). Journal of Strategic and Macro Policies, 2020; 8(31): 422-451. doi: 10.30507/jmsp.2020.102560 [In Persian]
  49. Samandarali Eshtehardi, M., Azimi, N.A. & Shahmoradi, B. The causal relationship between the components of the knowledge-based economy and the economic complexity index. Journal of Economic Researches of Iran, 2020; 25(82): 217-242. doi: 10.22054/ijer.2020.11915 [In Persian]
  50. Hosieni, S. Sh. Dekhosh Abatari, S. K. Akhavan, P. The state of Iran’s economy based on knowledge-based economy-resistance economy. Journal of National Defense Strategic Management Studies, 2021; 5(17): 101-130. [In Persian]
  51. Omidali, E., Fanni, Z. & Shafiee Sabet, N. Explaining the role of metropolitan competitiveness in regional development (Case study: Tehran metropolis). Journal of Human Geography Researches, 2022; 54(1): 235-267. doi: 10.22059/jhgr.2021.317480.1008237 [In Persian]
  52. Martin, R., Kitson, M., and Tyler, P., Regional Competitiveness (Regions and Cities), 2006; Routledge.
  53. Musterd, S., & Murie, A. (Eds.). Making competitive cities. 2011; John Wiley & Sons.
  54. Sundac, D., & Fatur, K. L. “Knowledge economy factors and the development of knowledge-based economy”. CroEconSur, 2011; 13(1): 105-141.
  55. Dworak, E. Analysis of knowledge-based economy impact on economic development in the European Union countries. Comparative economic research, 2010; 13(4): 5-25.
  56. Radovic, M., Zugic, R., & Milovic, N. Economic institutions and competitiveness of economy with emphasis on Montenegro. Montenegrin Journal of Economics, 2013; 9(1): 63.
  57. Carayannis, E., & Grigoroudis, E. Linking innovation, productivity, and competitiveness: implications for policy and practice. The Journal of Technology Transfer, 2014; 39(2): 199-218.
  58. Bajzikova, L., Sajgalikova, H., Wojcak. E., & Polakova, M. Dynamics of Changes Toward Knowledge-based Economy in Slovak SMEs. 10th International Strategic Management Conference, Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 2014; 150, 637-647.
  59. Palei, T. Assessing the impact of infrastructure on economic growth and global competitiveness. Procedia Economics and Finance, 2015; 23, 168-175.
  60. Al Shami, A., Lotfi, A., Coleman, S., & Dostál, P. Unified knowledge-based economy hybrid forecasting. Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 2015; 91, 107-123.
  61. Stefan, T. The influence of Knowledge Based Economy on agility of enterprise, 6th International Conference on Applied Human Factors and Ergonomics. (AHFE 2015) and the Affiliated Conferences, AHFE 2015Procedia Manufacturing, 2015; 3, 6615-6623.
  62. Lee, J. N., Ham, J., & Choi, B., Effect of Government Data Openness on a Knowledge Based Economy, Information Technology and Quantitative Management (ITQM 2016). Procedia Computer Science, 2016; 91, 158-67.
  63. Mejri K, MacVaugh JA, Tsagdis D. Knowledge configurations of small and medium-sized knowledge-intensive firms in a developing economy: A knowledge-based view of business-to-business internationalization. Industrial marketing management. 2018 May 1; 71: 160-70
  64. Carayannis EG, Ferreira JJ, Jalali MS, Ferreira FA. MCDA in knowledge-based economies: Methodological developments and real-world applications. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 2018 Jun 1; 131: 1-3.
  65. Toimbek D. Problems and perspectives of transition to the knowledge-based economy in Kazakhstan. Journal of the Knowledge Economy. 2022 Jun; 13(2):1088-125.
  66. Siddiqui SA, Afzal MN. Sectoral diversification of UAE toward a knowledge-based economy. Review of Economics and Political Science. 2022 Feb 22. DOI:10.1108/REPS-07-2021-0075
  67. Boussetta O, Aissaoui N, Sellaouti F. MENA Countries Face the Challenge of the Knowledge-Based Economy. InCases on Applying Knowledge Economy Principles for Economic Growth in Developing Nations 2022 (pp. 150-202). IGI Global. DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-8417-0.ch010
  68. Godet, M., Durance, Ph., & Gerber, A. Strategic Foresight La Prospective Use and Misuse of Scenario Building. 2008; LIPSOR Working Paper (#10), Paris
دوره 3، شماره 3
پاییز 1401
صفحه 212-227

  • تاریخ دریافت 09 آبان 1401
  • تاریخ بازنگری 28 آبان 1401
  • تاریخ پذیرش 01 آذر 1401